Earlier this week, Brian Myers posted a thread on the BIMForum titled "How BIM Affects the Job Market". It got me thinking. I know that I've discussed ideal future practices, but that is a little different than considering the job market.
Architects will still design, but they will use a tool like Revit. A small team of modelers will work add detail to the architect's model and create objects. The position of 'modeler' might become looked upon like the current 'drafter' position, but a modeler won't be able to mindlessly draw lines and add line weights. A modeler will have to think, because they are virtually constructing the building.
Structural, mechanical, electrical and plumbing designs and models will all be created in a similar way.
A position like mine (Building Information Modeler/BIM Coordinator) will evolve into a position that manages models throughout construction. The BIM Coordinator will manage the integration of cost and schedule into the model and will supervise clash detection and resolution, along with all of the other activities that relate to the use of the model.
BIM will reduce the number of drafter-types (modelers) required for each job, but will increase the skill and knowledge required of each modeler.
As for outsourcing, some companies will eventually look to other countries for a large supply of cheap tedious labor. But many are already doing that for drafting work, so the idea of out-sourcing can't be too surprising.
That doesn't mean that there isn't a place for us, the orchestraters of BIM implementation. According to Alan Eustace (Google vice president of engineering), "One top-notch engineer is worth 300 times or more than the average."
I apply that philosophy to "BIMers" as well. So, just make sure that you're top notch.